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Danger: Lethal Stereotypes

A top American liberal arts college with a storied reputation for teaching foreign countries’ languages, cultures, and history should know better than to lump thriving democracies together with a...

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Life Sentence: 25 Years of Putin

Twenty-five years ago this month, I was the Moscow bureau chief of The Economist. I called myself the “chaos correspondent,” with good reason. Russia seemed ungovernable, with a terminally unpopular...

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Hot Summer: Russia and Europe

Appease Russia or confront it, spies and saboteurs will target you regardless. Germans worry that sending Taurus long-range missiles to Ukraine would lead to a dangerous confrontation. But as far as...

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Trofimov vs. Trofimova: No Contest

Anastasia Trofimova, a Russian-Canadian filmmaker, says she did not witness any war crimes during the seven months she spent embedded with a Russian army battalion in eastern Ukraine. Ukrainians have...

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Getting to “Ouch”: Hybrid Deterrence

“Ouch!” That is the aim of deterrence. The adversary should feel that they have miscalculated. Their target was not intimidated. Instead, it responded with something effective and painful.  Russia...

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New Normal: Impunity

Why is it so hard for the West to respond effectively to Russian unconventional warfare? It is not a shortage of means. The United States and its allies are far bigger in economic and military terms....

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Fortress: Best of the Rest

Poles, along with their Baltic and Nordic neighbors, are increasingly impatient. They are frustrated by American dithering over Ukraine and the restraints it imposes on responding to Russian gray-zone...

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Taiwan Test: British Fail

A dilemma has been burning a hole in British officials’ desks. In fact, two holes. One case concerns the singer Taylor Swift. Would she be whisked through the streets of London with a VIP police...

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Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?

If Britain were properly governed, Keir Giles would still be “institutionalized in the Ministry of Defence” as he tells me. But Britain is in a mess, and one sign of this is that he is out of public...

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Deathbed Eulogy: Pax Americana

Regardless of who wins the US presidential election on November 5th, Pax Americana’s obituaries are now being drafted. They should be long ones. The Atlantic alliance was one of the most distinctive...

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Game Plan: After Ukraine

Ukraine is not yet defeated. But Russia has already won the battle that matters most: with the West. Decision-makers in Washington DC, London, Berlin, and Brussels (to name just a few capitals) had...

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Trump Cards: A Survival Kit

Europe is big and rich. Russia has an economy the size of Italy. The United States needs allies. We can do this. Leaders in Paris, Brussels, Berlin, and London should keep those four facts in mind as...

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High Time: Why Sanctions Failed

Western countries have been imposing sanctions on Russia since the war in Georgia in 2008. They have always been too little, too late, and poorly enforced.  That is the depressing conclusion of...

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Fogged Up: The Muddle in the Gray Zone

While Europe dozes, Russia is waging war. Not just in Ukraine, but in the comfortable countries to its west. These “gray zone” attacks target infrastructure and computer databases, military facilities...

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Boxing Clever: Deterrence

The first response to Russia’s campaign of political/unconventional warfare against the West is to quibble about language. Fashionable jargon includes “sub-threshold,” “gray-zone,” and “hybrid” war,...

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Getting to “Ouch”: Hybrid Deterrence

“Ouch!” That is the aim of deterrence. The adversary should feel that they have miscalculated. Their target was not intimidated. Instead, it responded with something effective and painful.  Russia...

View Article

Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

Boxing Clever: Deterrence

The first response to Russia’s campaign of political/unconventional warfare against the West is to quibble about language. Fashionable jargon includes “sub-threshold,” “gray-zone,” and “hybrid” war,...

View Article


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Clik here to view.

Up North: Confronting Arctic Insecurity Implications for the United States...

Download Report Executive Summary Geopolitics and strategic competition are fast changing the Arctic security landscape, a trend compounded by climate change. Russia represents a threat to NATO and...

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Clik here to view.

New Normal: Impunity

Why is it so hard for the West to respond effectively to Russian unconventional warfare? It is not a shortage of means. The United States and its allies are far bigger in economic and military terms....

View Article

Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

Up North: Confronting Arctic Insecurity Implications for the United States...

Download Report Executive Summary Geopolitics and strategic competition are fast changing the Arctic security landscape, a trend compounded by climate change. Russia represents a threat to NATO and...

View Article
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