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Trump Cards: A Survival Kit
Europe is big and rich. Russia has an economy the size of Italy. The United States needs allies. We can do this. Leaders in Paris, Brussels, Berlin, and London should keep those four facts in mind as...
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High Time: Why Sanctions Failed
Western countries have been imposing sanctions on Russia since the war in Georgia in 2008. They have always been too little, too late, and poorly enforced. That is the depressing conclusion of...
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Fogged Up: The Muddle in the Gray Zone
While Europe dozes, Russia is waging war. Not just in Ukraine, but in the comfortable countries to its west. These “gray zone” attacks target infrastructure and computer databases, military facilities...
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Boxing Clever: Deterrence
The first response to Russia’s campaign of political/unconventional warfare against the West is to quibble about language. Fashionable jargon includes “sub-threshold,” “gray-zone,” and “hybrid” war,...
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Up North: Confronting Arctic Insecurity Implications for the United States...
Download Report Executive Summary Geopolitics and strategic competition are fast changing the Arctic security landscape, a trend compounded by climate change. Russia represents a threat to NATO and...
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End Game: Putin and Assad
Dictatorships appear stable. Until they don’t. That was the laconic assessment of Jonatan Vseviov, one of Estonia’s most senior diplomats, of the fall of the Assad dictatorship in Syria. The unspoken...
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Vortex: Stand-Off at Sea
Europe’s northern waters are cold (5 degrees centigrade) at this time of year. But the geopolitics are steaming hot. A Russian corvette, the Merkuriy, last month launched flares to deter scrutiny from...
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Finlandization: More Please
During the cold war decades, Finland lived in Russia’s shadow, with enforced neutrality, self-censorship and constrained economic options. But the core institutions of the Finnish state maintained...
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The Weakest Link: Britain
British politicians and generals love talking about their country’s leadership in Europe. Take this press release from last week on the British contribution to the Steadfast Dart exercise in Romania...
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Guilty Men: the G7 in 2016
International summits finish with a “family photo”. But the picture marking the end of the G7’s seaside get-together in Japan in May 2016 looks like the opening scene of a disaster movie. The...
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